Fév 27, 2024

 Qatar et l’Iran.. Et marcher sur les cordes .. Par: Ihsan al-Faqih

Emprisonner les masses souffle qu'ils lisent attentivement lecteur cirque comme il marchait sur les cordes éditeurs mains de côté, en essayant de marcher avec sérénité, car ils jouent un risqué, La précision de la corde et la hauteur de la distance et regarder les masses, tout cela fait une tâche difficile, mais pas impossible. Si vous êtes arrivé frappa ses fans, Si il est tombé inspecté les pertes graves tombent.
* Plus proche des idéaux applicable est l'État du Qatar dans ses relations avec l'Iran, relation précise risquée, le Qatar va où sur la corde, et demander à Dieu sa sécurité.
Qatar ne diffère pas du reste du Conseil de coopération du Golfe (CCG) sur les préoccupations à propos de l'expansion de l'Iran dans la région, la différence entre eux et le contraste dans la façon de traiter avec ce fichier.
L'Iran ne cesse pas interférer dans les affaires des pays de la région, afin de répandre le chiisme en particulier, qui est basé dans le projet national comme une idée centrale pour lui, et les ambitions dans ce pays sont connus de tous, est que les pays arabes sont aux prises avec le projet sur le chemin (Fais-moi vivre aujourd'hui et demain me tuer).
* Qatar, même si elle est un petit pays, mais sa position géographique, et l'immense richesse du gaz naturel et de pétrole, peut faire un état de fonctionnement et d'une grande importance dans les comptes de tout lieu dans la région.
Points de convergence
Depuis la révolution de Khomeiny, et l'État du Qatar entretient une relation équilibrée avec l'Iran, qui prennent en compte les intérêts économiques de l'association et autre imposée par la proximité géographique avec l'Iran, dans le cadre du maintien de l'entité du Golfe et, fondamentalement, étant un membre des Etats du Conseil de coopération du Golfe.
Il ya plusieurs facteurs qui ont contribué à ce que les relations caractérisées entre les deux pays calmes Contrairement à d'autres pays du Golfe, Arabie saoudite en tête, peut-être le plus important de ces facteurs:
Premier: Les relations économiques
L'Iran est le deuxième plus grandes réserves prouvées de gaz naturel dans le monde, suivie par des tiers plus grandes réserves prouvées du Qatar dans le monde, et les deux partagent le plus grand champ de gaz dans le monde, un champ « Pars ».
Un champ étend offrir Golfe dix mille kilomètres carrés, a des réserves prouvées estimées à environ 1300 Billions de pieds cubes, ce qui équivaut à 221 Milliards de barils.
La part du Qatar de ce champ de six mille kilomètres carrés et représente un cinquième des réserves mondiales de gaz.. Parler (Au niveau de l'ensemble du monde).
Ce partenariat dans le domaine du gaz a imposé une sorte de convergence économique entre les deux pays, et l'élément de la concurrence dans le même temps, que le Qatar était supérieur à l'Iran dans la technologie du GNL, et a réussi à aller au-delà de la portée géographique des marchés internationaux.
Économie qatarie est forte, qui est le centre de l'attention et le souci de Téhéran, a infusé la relation entre les deux pays et le caractère de la diplomatie calme et prudence, malgré les points de différence qui rappellent plus tard.
Deuxièmement: Relation non-concurrentiel
Le Qatar est un petit pays d'éviter de provoquer l'Iran avec la plus grande influence de l'Etat, et de chercher des relations apaisées avec Téhéran, Vajawar géographique entre les deux pays rend Qatar un jet de pierre de l'Iran.
Dans le même temps, ne prenez pas la relation entre les deux pays, le caractère concurrentiel qui est le cas avec l'Arabie Saoudite et l'Iran, en raison de la grande disparité de puissance entre les deux pays, ce qui importe le Qatar est la sécurité nationale et d'avoir un rôle dans la gestion de la zone de crise, et Quant à l'Iran, il peut ambitions dans le Golfe, et cherche à Arabian Gulf tourne dans l'orbite de ses politiques.
Ce fut la disparité de pouvoir, et la relation est concurrentiel, la cause de la relation entre les deux pays conservent beaucoup de calme.
Troisièmement: Composante chiite
La proportion de chiites au Qatar jusqu'à 10 % De la population totale, selon un rapport de la liberté religieuse dans le monde publié par le Département d'État des États-Unis 2006, le même pourcentage cité par le rapport sur la porte intitulé Nouvelles « Carte chiites de l'océan Atlantique au Golfe » Sur 21 Avril 2015 m, ce qui signifie que le nombre de chiites à Bahreïn, le Qatar, par exemple, par rapport à quelques-uns et les Émirats arabes unis.
Les chiites ne représentent pas la majorité partout dans l'État du Qatar, contrairement à d'autres Etats du Golfe.
Si ce facteur est ajouté pour mettre en œuvre les savants sunnites et leur influence os, dirigée par le Dr Yusuf al-Qaradawi, explique le calme relatif diamètre intérieur par rapport à la secte chiite, ce sont des communautés moins chiites dans les pays du Golfe de soulever des problèmes et des troubles.
La baisse conséquente des craintes qatari de l'influence iranienne, qui utilise la minorité chiite comme un cheval de Troie, et fiable dans l'exportation des principes de la révolution de Khomeiny à travers le soft power, culturelle et de plaidoyer Kghazo.
Points de désaccord et de tension
Il ya plusieurs fichiers frapper les relations irano-qatari avec tension, notamment:
Premier: Printemps arabe
Lorsque le printemps arabe, le Qatar a soutenu le peuple de la révolution, et en particulier la révolution 25 Janvier en Egypte, où il a pris en charge le nouveau régime dirigé par les Frères musulmans et le président Mohamed Morsi.
Et a eu un rôle important dans le rejet du coup d'Etat contre la légitimité, et a ouvert ses portes aux opposants au coup d'Etat, qui a rendu les relations entre eux et le régime putschiste jusqu'à aujourd'hui, tendu.
Dans le même temps, l'Iran a accueilli le nouveau régime égyptien, espérant trouver un pied en Egypte, mais le président Morsi peut fermer la porte en face d'eux, et de faire des relations dans le domaine du tourisme est strictement réglementée pour répandre le chiisme.
* Mais le clou de la différence entre les deux côtés est apparu, est la Révolution syrienne, à un moment que le Qatar a soutenu la révolution du peuple syrien dans leurs revendications légitimes, l'Iran est avec Bachar al-Assad, et lui fournir un soutien militaire et logistique, et de la défendre dans les instances internationales, et de coordonner avec la Russie pour la survie.
Il est la profondeur de cette différence, que le Qatar a regardé le mouvement chiite à Bahreïn, non pas comme une révolution dans le sens de la Syrie, l'Egypte et le reste des pays de printemps, mais ils sont traités sur la base que les perturbations et les violations de la légitimité, qui est contraire à l'orientation iranienne, qui soutient les chiites de Bahreïn, et simplifie son influence à travers eux par l'intermédiaire du velayat-e faqih.
Ce point est encore controversée entre les deux pays, que l'État du Qatar en ligne avec les orientations de l'Arabie saoudite à la nécessité pour l'exclusion de Assad comme base de toute solution politique.
Deuxièmement: Opérations militaires contre les Houthis
Nous ne devons plus la preuve de dire que les Houthis sont des laquais de l'Iran au Yémen, et qu'ils effectuent leur ordre du jour, et une partie essentielle du projet de croissant chiite.
Les paquets de tempête qui ont participé au Qatar avec l'Arabie saoudite et d'autres États du Golfe contre les Houthis, les obstacles les plus importants à l'expansion iranienne dans la région.
Jusqu'à présent, refuse QATAR malgré la relation économique la diplomatie naturelle et avec l'Iran, toute solution qui ne comprend pas le retour de la légitimité au Yémen, une séparation et point différent avec l'Iran, qui condamne les opérations contre les Houthis, Arabie Saoudite accuse de conspirer contre le peuple yéménite.
Troisièmement: Alliance nationale Arabie turque
Ces derniers temps, les relations du Qatar et l'Arabie saoudite sont fortes à nouveau, surtout après l'adhésion des affaires Roi Salmane du pays, alors que dans le même temps, le Qatar a établi de bonnes relations avec la Turquie, M. Erdogan, ainsi que les bonnes relations bilatérales entre l'Arabie saoudite et la Turquie.
Cette alliance a été l'une de ses réalisations, les bataillons de soutien des rebelles en Syrie, où les parties à cette alliance avec une vision commune face à la crise syrienne, ce qui explique la série de victoires des rebelles dans le nord de la Syrie Brigades de la période précédente.
Émissaire syrien à l'ONU, Bachar Jaafari a été décrit, Al-Jazira a diffusé une interview du leader du Front al-Nosra « Abou Mohammed Joulani », Comme une violation des résolutions de l'Organisation des Nations Unies pour combattre le terrorisme, et pour essayer de blanchir le pays page « Front pour la victoire, qui reflète la case iranienne sur Qatar à l'appui des rebelles en Syrie.
Ceci est ce que la plupart des soucis de l'alliance de l'Iran, parce qu'elle est une alliance Etats sunnites (L'Iran a utilisé ce pays à majorité sunnite et des commerces de gouvernance sont les pays qui répondent ou d'accord sur un projet), Mais les craintes que le pays est mentionné (Commune) L'influence iranienne et de dénonciation Téhéran et la manipulation, l'un des points de désaccord et de la tension entre le Qatar et l'Iran.
Garanties pour prévenir les chutes
Ne l'appelez pas pour le Qatar de couper les liens avec l'Iran, il ya quelque chose qui ne peut pas être fait dans le Golfe individuellement, et aujourd'hui encore, la relation entre les Etats du Golfe non seulement décrite comme la coopération, pas encore atteint le stade de l'Union.
Et ne sont pas tenus au Qatar que l'intersection de l'Iran, en présence d'intérêts économiques entre les deux pays.
* Mais dans le même temps, il ne devrait pas affaiblir l'État du Qatar à la réussite des négociations nucléaires de l'Iran, ce qui pourrait affecter le gaz qatari, après l'ouverture prévue à l'Iran sur la technologie des États-Unis qui augmentent la production de gaz, et l'ouverture de nouveaux marchés internationaux.
Qatar ne devrait pas, à la lumière de cette renoncer à la garde de l'exploitation de l'Iran pour l'événement à l'appui de la minorité chiite plus forte, ce qui peut causer un mal de tête au sommet des régimes arabes sunnites.
* Même Qatar maintient son chemin dans des relations équilibrées avec l'Iran sans tomber entre Vkiha, à faire face efficacement à ces thèses:
Premier: Interaction avec la coalition, y compris l'Arabie saoudite et la Turquie, et avec l'attitude générale envers le Syrien Golfe et la crise yéménite, en particulier,.
Deuxièmement: Entretenir de bonnes relations avec l'Arabie saoudite, qui est considérée comme la mère pour les pays du Conseil du Golfe (Pratiquement)Et, pour les pays islamiques (Spirituellement et moralement), Surtout depuis que l'Arabie saoudite est le courant rival l'Iran, qui est l'équilibre des relations saoudiennes-qatari arriver.
Troisièmement: Isoler la minorité chiite iranienne atteint, par l'approfondissement de l'esprit de patriotisme qu'ils ont, et de donner suffisamment d'espace tendance islamique sunnite, afin de ne pas laisser arène vide de l'invasion culturelle et religieuse iranienne.
Si Qatar traitée avec ces trois, et considérée comme une ligne rouge à ne dépassait, puis conserver les relations équilibrées avec l'Iran, qui va des intérêts économiques sans nuire à la sécurité nationale..

Source : Affaires du Golfe

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