Feb 26, 2024

 卡塔尔和伊朗。. 而走在绳索 .. 靠: 伊赫桑AL-Faqih的

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* 更接近应用的理想是卡塔尔在与伊朗之间的确切关系风险往来的国家,卡塔尔打算在那里的绳子,并祈求上帝她的安全.
卡塔尔不从海湾合作委员会(GCC)的其余部分的担忧不同,对伊朗扩大在该地区,他们在如何处理该文件的对比之间的差异.
伊朗不停止干涉该地区国家的事务,以传播什叶派特别,这是基于在国家项目为中心的想法给他,并在该国的野心是人所共知的是,阿拉伯国家正在与该项​​目上的处理方式 (因为我今天和明天活杀我).
* 卡塔尔,虽然是一个小国,但其地理位置,以及天然气和石油的巨额财富,也使之成为功能状态的重视,并在任何地方在该地区的账户.
点收敛
自从霍梅尼革命,卡塔尔国保持与伊朗的平衡关系,其中考虑到与伊朗所施加的地理上的接近联想和其他的经济利益,维护海湾地区的实体,而且基本上是海湾合作委员会国家成员的框架内.
有迹象表明,促成了两国冷静与其他海湾国家的带动下,沙特阿拉伯之间的关系特征的几个因素,也许是最突出的因素:
首先: 经济关系
伊朗是天然气在世界上,其次是卡塔尔的第三大已探明石油储量在世界上的第二大探明储量,而两股在世界上最大的天然气田,场 “帕尔斯”.
字段扩展提供海湾万平方公里,已探明估计约为储备 1300 万亿立方英尺,相当于 221 十亿桶油.
卡塔尔从6000平方公里这一领域的份额,并表示气体的世界储量的五分之一。. 说话的 (在整个世界的水平).
这种伙伴关系在天然气领域实行了竞争,同时元素某种两国之间的经济趋同,正如卡塔尔优于伊朗液化天然气技术,并成功超越国际市场的地域范围.
卡塔尔经济强劲,这是人们关注的焦点和德黑兰的关注,已经注入了两国和安静的外交和谨慎的性格之间的关系,尽管差异点,后来提醒.
其次: 非竞争关系
卡塔尔是一个小国,以避免挑起伊朗与国家的影响最大,并寻求与德黑兰的关系平静,地理Vajawar两国使得卡塔尔一箭之遥,从伊朗.
同时,不要拿这两个国家之间的关系,性格竞争力,是因为大的差距,在这两个国家之间的权力,重要的卡塔尔是国家安全和在危机区域管理的作用与沙特阿拉伯和伊朗的情况,以及对于伊朗,它可能的野心在海湾地区,并力求阿拉伯海湾围绕在其政策的轨道.
这是实力差距,而关系是竞争性的,两国之间的关系的原因保留了大量的平静.
第三: 什叶派组件
什叶派在卡塔尔可达比例 10 % 总人口中,根据宗教自由的美国州,2006年部门发行了世界的报告,相同的百分比引述的门标题新闻的报道 “从大西洋海湾地图什叶派” 在 21 2015年4月米,这意味着,什叶派在巴林,卡塔尔,例如数量,相比于一些和阿联酋.
什叶派并不代表大多数卡塔尔国内的任何地方,不像其他海湾国家.
如果这个因素加入到实施逊尼派学者和他们的影响骨的带动下,博士优素福基地卡拉达维,说明内径相对平静,对于什叶派,他们不太什叶派社区,在海湾国家提出的问题和障碍.
通过软实力,文化和宣传Kghazo随之下降在伊朗的影响卡塔尔的恐惧,它采用什叶派占少数木马,以及可靠的霍梅尼革命的原则出口.
点分歧和紧张
有几个文件打正着紧张的伊朗与卡塔尔的关系,最显着:
首先: 阿拉伯之春
当阿拉伯之春,卡塔尔一直支持革命的人,特别是革命 25 一月埃及,在那里,他支持新政权领导的穆斯林兄弟会总统穆罕默德·穆尔西.
与此前在对阵合法性政变甩了突出的作用,而敞开了大门政变的对手,这使他们与政变政权之间的关系直到今天,紧张.
与此同时,伊朗欢迎埃及新政权,希望能找到在埃及站稳脚跟,但穆尔西总统可以关上门在他们面前,使关系旅游领域有严格的规定,以传播什叶派.
* 但双方之间的差异的亮点出现了,就是叙利亚革命的,在同一时间,卡塔尔支持叙利亚人民的革命,他们的正当要求,伊朗的立场与巴沙尔·阿萨德,并为他提供军事和后勤支持,并在国际论坛上捍卫它,并与俄罗斯协调生存.
正是这种差异的深度,即卡塔尔看着什叶派运动在巴林,而不是沿着叙利亚,埃及和Spring国家的其他部分通过一项革命,但他们的基础上处理的干扰和侵犯的合法性,这是违背伊朗的方向,它支持巴林的什叶派,并简化了他的影响力通过他们通过velayat-E Faqih的.
这一点是两国之间仍然有争议,作为卡塔尔国与沙特阿拉伯的需要阿萨德排除作为任何政治解决的基础的方位线.
其次: 对胡塞武装组织的军事行动
我们不再需要证明说,胡塞武装组织是伊朗的走狗在也门,他们开展的议程,而什叶派新月带项目的重要组成部分.
所有参与卡塔尔与沙特阿拉伯和其他海湾国家对胡塞武装组织,该地区最重要的障碍,伊朗扩大了风暴包.
到目前为止,拒绝卡塔尔尽管经济关系自然和外交与伊朗,不包括合法性也门回报,分离和不同之处与伊朗,它谴责针对胡塞武装组织的行动的任何解决方案,沙特指责密谋推翻也门人民.
第三: 土耳其沙特国家联盟
近年来,卡塔尔,沙特的关系再度走强,特别是该国的国王萨尔曼事务的加入后,而在同一时间,卡塔尔先后与土耳其,埃尔多安的良好关系,以及沙特阿拉伯和土耳其之间的良好的双边关系.
这个联盟是其成果,支持营在叙利亚,反政府武装之一,各方对此同盟与对叙利亚危机,这也解释了前一段时间在叙利亚北部的反政府武装旅连胜共同愿景.
叙利亚驻联合国,巴沙尔·贾法里被描述,半岛电视台播出努斯拉阵线的领导人接受记者采访时 “阿布·穆罕默德Joulani”,由于违反了联合国打击恐怖主义,并试图美白国家页的​​决议 “胜利前,这反映了伊朗苦恼过卡塔尔支持叙利亚反政府武装.
这是伊朗大多数忧虑联盟,因为它是一个联盟,逊尼派国家 (伊朗已经使用了与大多数逊尼派和治理商店国家达到或同意草案的国家),但市场担心该国被​​提及 (共享) 伊朗的影响和篡改德黑兰和操纵,卡塔尔和伊朗之间的分歧和紧张的点之一.
保障措施,以防止跌倒
不要叫卡塔尔切断与伊朗的关系,今天的海湾之间的关系,国家不只是形容合作的东西,不能在海湾地区进行国家个别,甚至,还没有达到联盟的阶段.
而且不需要卡塔尔,伊朗的交集,在经济利益的两国间存在.
* 但在同一时间,它不应该削弱卡塔尔国对伊朗的核谈判取得成功,这可能会影响卡塔尔天然气,美国的技术,提高天然气产量预计开放到伊朗后,和新的国际市场开放.
卡塔尔不应有鉴于此放弃守卫伊朗开发为支持什叶派少数强的情况下,这可能会导致头痛的逊尼派阿拉伯政权的顶部.
* 即便卡塔尔保持其在与伊朗的平衡关系路径没有Vkiha的下降,将这些论文有效地处理:
首先: 与联盟,其中包括沙特阿拉伯和土耳其,并与朝海湾叙利亚的一般态度和也门的危机,特别是互动,.
其次: 保持与沙特阿拉伯,这被认为是母亲海湾委员会国家的良好关系 (事实上)而且,伊斯兰国家 (精神上和道德上),特别是因为沙特是目前的对手伊朗,这是沙特,卡塔尔发生关系的平衡.
第三: 隔离伊朗的什叶派少数达到,通过深化爱国主义他们的精神,并给予足够的空间逊尼派伊斯兰的趋势,所以不会留下文化和宗教的伊朗入侵的空舞台.
如果卡塔尔处理这三种,并认为没有超过红线,然后保持与伊朗,这是怎么回事经济利益不损害国家安全的平衡关系。.

来源 : 海湾事务

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